Sunday, September 11, 2011

Risks to Monitor in Structured Finance

Investors of CDOs must note the risks involved in such instruments.  Many were brought to light during the credit crisis in 2008.  They are:
  • Default risk of the underlying collateral - This is greater for the equity tranches.
  • Financial engineering risk - In 2008, the subprime mortgages, which were the underlying assets of the CDOs, began to default.  This caused most of the CDO tranches to suffer a drawdown.
  • Downgrade risk - The credit raters, Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch's may reduce the rating of the CDO tranches.
  • CDO default rates - In a one year period in 2008, more than 4,000 CDO securities worth $351 billion were downgraded or defaulted.
  • Differences in periodicity - The frequency of interest payments from the collateral may not match the payments on the CDO securities.
  • Difference in payment dates - The interest payment schedule from the collateral may not match the payment schedule on the CDO securities.
  • Basis risk - The risk when interest payments are calculated on the underlying assets of the CDO based on a different index than the payments on the CDO securities.
  • Spread compression - When credit spreads become lower and result in reduced interest payments from the underlying collateral.
  • Yield curve risk - Any yield curve shifts or changes in steepness affect CDOs if their underlying assets have different maturity dates.

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